Ladder epochs and ladder chain of a Markov random walk with discrete driving chain

نویسندگان

چکیده

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

The Geometric Chain - Ladder

The log normal reserving model is considered. The contribution of the paper is to derive explicit expressions for the maximum likelihood estimators. These are expressed in terms of development factors which are geometric averages. The distribution of the estimators is derived. It is shown that the analysis is invariant to traditional measures for exposure.

متن کامل

Modified Munich Chain-Ladder Method

The Munich chain-ladder method for claims reserving was introduced by Quarg and Mack on an axiomatic basis. We analyze these axioms, and we define a modified Munich chain-ladder method which is based on an explicit stochastic model. This stochastic model then allows us to consider claims prediction and prediction uncertainty for the Munich chain-ladder method in a consistent way.

متن کامل

A Robustification of the Chain-Ladder Method

In a non-life insurance business an insurer often needs to build up a reserve to be able to meet his future obligations arising from claims that are known to exist, but for which the actual size is unknown at the time the reserves have to be set. The delay of the actual payment of the claims is, for example, due to long legal procedures or difficulties in determining the size of the claims. The...

متن کامل

تحلیل بیزی بر روی روش محاسب? ذخیره chain ladder

نظر به اینکه فرآیند کارشناسی ادعاهای وارد شده توسط شرکت بیمه در سال های بعد باعث می شود که بسیاری از ادعاهای رخداده شده در سال جاری به سال های آینده منتقل شده، بنابراین حساب مالی یک شرکت مالی با سال مالی بسته نخواهد شد. پس این معقول به نظر می رسد که شرکت بیمه در پایان هر سال مالی مبلغی تحت عنوان ذخیره فنی برای تصفیه حساب ادعاهای مربوط به سال مالی جاری در سال های آینده برآورد و در حسابی ویژه نگه...

15 صفحه اول

Ladder: Reformulating and Generalizing a Classical Insurance Problem. Expert Systems with City Research Online Continuous Chain Ladder: Reformulating and Generalizing a Classical Insurance Problem. Expert Continuous Chain Ladder

Copyright & reuse City University London has developed City Research Online so that its users may access the research outputs of City University London's staff. Copyright © and Moral Rights for this paper are retained by the individual author(s) and/ or other copyright holders. All material in City Research Online is checked for eligibility for copyright before being made available in the live ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Advances in Applied Probability

سال: 2018

ISSN: 0001-8678,1475-6064

DOI: 10.1017/apr.2018.68